Return to the cold war: Because they do not know, what they do

Marrowy words and military maneuvers: At its east border NATO wants to show strength now opposite Russia. The cold war is back. Not times the relaxation held 25 years.

Today the NATO meeting in Wales begins. One will remember this day. It seals the new beginning of the cold war. From now on again errs logic that of military governs.

That would have been avoidable. If it someone would have wanted to avoid. The Russians did not want non and we in the west also. “It of takes two tons tango”, said Ronald Reagan once to the US-Soviet relationship. That is valid for the relaxation just like for the confrontation. Now we walk hand in hand back into the future. Behind us we leave an expanse of rubble. The rubble of the policy of detente. We could not even enjoy their fruits 25 years long. Thinking the cold war followed the hopeless logic of the game theory: Always count on the worst intentions and the best abilities of your enemy. Now one thinks again in such a way. What wants Putin? If it would have concerned to it only Crimea, then it could now withdraw itself. Because Kremlin gentlemen nobody will make Crimea more contentious for that. Why the unexplained war in east Ukraine? There no long head scratching is necessary: Putin wants to destroy the west - after the slogan: Count on the worst intentions… on it gives it only one answer: strongly its, hard its. Nobody wants to give the new Chamberlain and only no new Munich! But Putin is not Hitler. The fact that it would have Valhalla end of the world fantasies à la leaders is not well-known. The chancellor says, it lives “in its own world”. The “time” attributes “encirclement fantasies” to him. The truth is: Putin watched for a long time, how it NATO and European Union moved ever more near. With Ukraine was conclusion. The west had to know. Our indignation has therefore something flat. Everyone decides, whereby it sees itself threatened. Putin may have become the prisoner of its own Noworossija rhetoric. Obama is a driving of its right opposition. Therefore it flew to Tallinn and a speech gave there, which made a fame hall of the cold war from the local concert hall. If humans in Estonia or the other Baltic states today asked themselves: Will “who come us to assistance? ”, the answer is clear: “The nato troops and the soldiers of the United States. Here and now. We will be there for Estonia. We will be there for Latvia. We will be there for Lithuanias. You lost your independence already at Russia. With NATO in the back it will never again lose.” “Mourir pour Tallinn?” That was more pathos than one from an American president to expect may. No miracle. The more improbably the announcement, the louder must be spoken it. Still in May the NATO planners had warned, the Baltic was not to be defended with conventional weapons against a Russian attack. Thus then nuclear? “Mourir pour Tallinn?” Hopefully the determination of the American president is not tested. It belongs also to the deterrence logic that one of the contractors errs actually in such a way be could to accept the war approving of. “They do not know, what they do” are called the film appropriate, in which James Dean survives the “hare foot running” only by luck - the other one falls into the abyss. Frank Schirrmacher tells ego” in his game theory book “of the physicist Herman Kahn, who held 1959 in the USA lectures on the conductibleness of the nuclear war: Punt enumerated its shivering audience that the largest nuclear attack of the Soviet Union which can be accepted would destroy all 53 larger metropolises of the USA. That would be bad, however did not live 60 percent of the Americans at all in metropolises.